Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.034129 0.039845 0.046141 0.053579 0.062114 0.071590 0.082896
2025-07-20 0.026644 0.034366 0.043663 0.055633 0.070581 0.088579 0.111829
2025-07-27 0.020249 0.028551 0.039365 0.054374 0.074543 0.100565 0.136513
2025-08-03 0.016044 0.024503 0.036323 0.053852 0.078958 0.113336 0.163629
2025-08-10 0.012663 0.020819 0.032971 0.052113 0.081142 0.123059 0.187561
2025-08-17 0.010249 0.018036 0.030342 0.050816 0.083509 0.133005 0.212659
2025-08-24 0.008659 0.016217 0.028821 0.050851 0.087692 0.145864 0.243263
2025-08-31 0.007169 0.014259 0.026708 0.049514 0.089356 0.154806 0.268516
2025-09-07 0.006496 0.013624 0.026719 0.051714 0.097060 0.174128 0.312326
2025-09-14 0.005644 0.012483 0.025622 0.051739 0.100913 0.187306 0.347059
2025-09-21 0.004775 0.011135 0.023913 0.050346 0.101961 0.195626 0.374071
2025-09-28 0.004128 0.010124 0.022689 0.049679 0.104208 0.206184 0.405905
2025-10-05 0.003868 0.009930 0.023128 0.052454 0.113530 0.230854 0.466326
2025-10-12 0.003557 0.009561 0.023142 0.054353 0.121347 0.253486 0.525149
2025-10-19 0.003051 0.008622 0.021758 0.053065 0.122472 0.263287 0.560292
2025-10-26 0.002669 0.007915 0.020783 0.052526 0.125081 0.276236 0.602773
2025-11-02 0.002275 0.007090 0.019389 0.050812 0.124898 0.283427 0.634244
2025-11-09 0.001963 0.006419 0.018255 0.049539 0.125513 0.292282 0.669869
2025-11-16 0.001755 0.006000 0.017693 0.049569 0.129107 0.307790 0.720818
2025-11-23 0.001518 0.005441 0.016662 0.048262 0.129359 0.315970 0.756647
2025-11-30 0.001441 0.005366 0.016944 0.050409 0.138248 0.344280 0.839162
2025-12-07 0.001297 0.005039 0.016459 0.050433 0.141849 0.360823 0.896671
2025-12-14 0.001127 0.004583 0.015521 0.049072 0.141750 0.368715 0.935085